THE TRIPOLAR WORLD: RUSSIAN GEOPOLITICS IN THE 21ST CENTURY AND THE NEW INTERNATIONAL ORDER

Authors

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.22409/GEOgraphia2023.v25i54.a55146

Keywords:

russian geopolitics, balance of power, tripolar world

Abstract

The world is going through a moment of great tensions in the US-Russian relations. Russia's current rise is followed by a global reorganization of the US policy of containment of Eurasian powers. In a scenario characterized by the rise of China, Moscow implements a meticulous strategy of geographical transposition to the Eurasian encirclement imposed by Washington. On the one hand, the Kremlin intensifies its war offensive in Eastern Europe and the Black Sea Basin aiming to counterbalance NATO's eastern expansion. On the other hand, it expands its political and economic ties with China, the Middle East, and emerging Asian powers to undermine US geostrategic superiority. In this context, the deepening of the hegemonic decline of the western powers, the consolidation of a balance of power system, and the acceleration of the transition from the unimultipolar to the tripolar order stand out. International conflicts get another raison d'être, leading to political, economic, and military instability to the whole planet.

Downloads

Download data is not yet available.

References

BBORSHCHEVSKAYA, Anna (2017). The Tactical Side of Russia’s Arms Sales to the Middle East. The Jamestown Foundation Global Research & Analysis. Disponível em: https://jamestown.org/program/tactical-side-russias-arms-sales-middle-east/. Acessado em: 15 mar. 2022

CLINTON, Hillary (2011). America's Pacific century: the Future of Geopolitics will be Decided in Asia, not in Afghanistan Or Iraq, And The United States Should be Right at the Center of the Action. Foreign Policy, n° 189, p. 56-63.

COSTA, Wanderley Messias da (2015). O reerguimento da Rússia, os EUA/OTAN e a crise da Ucrânia: a Geopolítica da nova Ordem Mundial. Confins: Revista Franco-Brasileira de Geografia. Disponível em: https://journals.openedition.org/confins/10551.

Acessado em: 20 Jun. 2021

DEIBERT, R (2015). The Geopolitics of Cyberspace After Snowden. Current History, Vol. 114, n° 768, p. 9–15

GADDIS, John Lewis (2005). Strategies of Containment: a Critical Appraisal of American National Security Policy During the Cold War. Nova York: Oxford University Press.

HOLDER, J; RUSSELL, K.; REED, S. How a Ukraine Conflict Could Reshape Europe’s Reliance on Russia. New York Times, New York, 15 fev. 2022. Disponível em: https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2022/02/15/business/energy-environment/russia-gas-europe-ukraine.html. Acessado em: 01 Jun. 2022.

HUNTINGTON, Samuel (2008). A Superpotência Solitária. In: DUPAS, G.; LAFER, C.; SILVA, E. A Nova Configuração Mundial do Poder. São Paulo: Paz e Terra, p.135-152.

JOFFÉ, George (2011). A Primavera Árabe no Norte da África: Origens e Perspectivas de Futuro. Relações Internacionais. Lisboa, n°30, p. 085-116.

KENNAN, George (1947). The Sources of Soviet Conduct. Foreign Affairs. Washington, Vol. 25, No. 04, p. 566-582.

KENNEDY, Paul (1989). The Rise and Fall of the Great Powers: Economic Change and Military Conflict from 1500 to 2000. New York: Vintage Books.

KITTRIE, F (2010). Lawfare and U.S. National Security. Case Western Reserve Journal of International Law. Cleveland, Vol. 43, n°01, p. 392-421.

KISSINGER, Henry (1994). Diplomacy. New York, London, Toronto and Sydney: Simon & Schuster Paperbacks.

LERNER, Craig S (2003). The USA Patriot Act: Promoting the Cooperation of Foreign Intelligence Gathering and Low Enforcement. George Mason Law Review, Vol.11, n°03, p. 493-526.

MACKINDER, Halford (1919). Democratic Ideals and Reality. New York: Henry Holt and Company.

MACKINDER, Halford (1904) The Geographical Pivot of History. The Geographical Journal. Londres, Vol. 23, n° 04, p. 421-437.

NYE, J (2009). Cooperação e Conflito nas Relações Internacionais. São Paulo: Editora Gente.

OLIVEIRA, Flávio Rocha (2018). Grande Estratégia e Poder Naval: Os Estados Unidos da América na Região da Ásia-Pacífico no Início do Século XXI. Revista da Escola de Guerra Naval, v. 24, p. 329-354.

SANTANA, Carlos Henrique (2018). The Geopolitics of the Brazilian Coup d’état and its Consequences. Transcience Journal, v. 09, n°01, p. 75-109.

SCHENKER, David (2022). Putin’s War Has Middle Eastern Countries Hedging Their Bets. Foreign Policy. Disponível em: https://foreignpolicy.com/2022/03/04/russia-war-ukraine-middle-east-iran-nuclear-deal/. Acessado em: 21 Jun. 2022.

STATISTA. Gas exports from Russia to China. Disponível em: https://www.statista.com/statistics/1032435/russia-natural-gas-export-value/. Acessado em: 30 abr. 2022

STATISTA. Arms Exports from Russia from 2017 to 2021. Disponível em: https://www.statista.com/statistics/1296249/russia-arms-exports-by-country/. Acessado em: 13 abr. 2022.

STOCKHOLM INTERNATIONAL PEACE RESEARCH INSTITUTE (2021). SIPRI Yearbook 2021. Armaments, Disarmaments and International Security. Londres: Oxford University Press.

STOCKHOLM INTERNATIONAL PEACE RESEARCH INSTITUTE (2022). SIPRI Yearbook 2021. Armaments, Disarmaments and International Security. Londres: Oxford University Press.

STRONSK, Paul (2021). What Is Russia Doing in the Black Sea? Carnegie Endowment for International Peace. Disponível em: https://carnegieendowment.org/2021/05/20/what-is-russia-doing-in-black-sea-pub-84549. Acessado em: 21 Jun. 2022.

TAUBMAN, Philip. Gorbachev's Speech: Tour de Force of Stamina. New York Times, New York, 26 fev. 1986. Disponível em: https://www.nytimes.com/1986/02/26/world/gorbachev-s-speech-tour-de-force-of-stamina.html. Acesso em: 10 set. 2021.

THE UNITED STATES CONGRESS (2017). Countering America’s Adversaries Through Sanctions Act. Disponível em: https://www.congress.gov/115/plaws/publ44/PLAW-115publ44.pdf. Acessado em: 05 abr. 2022.

THE UNITED STATES ENERGY INFORMATION ADMINISTRATION. Europe is a Key Destination for Russia’s Energy Exports. Disponível em: https://www.eia.gov/todayinenergy/detail.php?id=51618. Acessado em: 08 fev. 2022

TUCKER, Robert; HENDRICKSON, David (1990). Empire of Liberty: The Statecraft of Thomas Jefferson. Nova York: Oxford University Press.

THE WORLD BANK. Gross Domestic Product. Disponível em: https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/NY.GDP.MKTP.CD?locations=RU. Acessado em: 30 mar. 2022.

THE WORLD BANK. Total Reserves. Disponível em: https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/FI.RES.TOTL.CD. Acessado em: 30 mar. 2022.

UNITED NATIONS. General Assembly Resolution Demands end to Russian Offensive in Ukraine. Disponível em: https://news.un.org/en/story/2022/03/1113152. Acessado em: 20 mar. 2022

WALT, Stephen M (2002). Keeping the World “Off Balance”: Self Restraint and U.S. Foreign Policy. In: IKENBERRY, G. John (Org.). America Unrivaled. The Future of the Balance of Power. London: Cornell University Press, p. 98-118.

WEDGWOOD, Cicely Veronica (2005). The Thirty Years War. New York: New York Review Books.

YAKOVLEV, A (2022). The Russian Economy at the Crossroads: Before and Beyond the Ukrainian Crisis. Disponível em: https://balticworlds.com/the-russian-economy-at-the-crossroads/. Acessado em: 20 abr. 2022.

Published

2023-05-25

How to Cite

ROSEIRA, A. M. THE TRIPOLAR WORLD: RUSSIAN GEOPOLITICS IN THE 21ST CENTURY AND THE NEW INTERNATIONAL ORDER. GEOgraphia, v. 25, n. 54, 25 May 2023.